Cédric Van Hooydonk graduated from the University of Antwerp in June 2022 with a Master's degree in Business Engineering. In his final academic year, Cédric joined the Econopolis team as an interim analyst. He combined his internship with a thesis dealing with the dynamic correlation between equity and bond yields. Cédric is a Portfolio Analyst and also a member of the Risk Committee.
Short Selling: The Controversial Tool Driving Market Efficiency
A short sale involves an investor borrowing a security from a lender, selling it on the market, and aiming to repurchase it later at a lower price to return it to the lender. This strategy plays a significant role in the financial markets, often accounting for 40-50 percent of the trading volume in listed equity shares. Widely used by different types of financial actors, short selling contributes to market quality, reduces volatility, and aids in fraud detection and capital formation. However, misconceptions and myths about short selling exist and persist. In this comprehensive read, we'll explore the mechanics of short selling, dispel some common myths, and outline its advantages and disadvantages.
Quite simply, short selling is selling a stock that you don’t already own.
A short sale is a trade in which a financial actor borrows a security from a lender and sells it with hopes to buy it back later at a cheaper price before returning the borrowed security to the lender. Considering the example given above, the short seller has his/her reasons to believe the shares of ABC stock are overvalued. Thus, he contacts a broker with the request of lending him 10 shares. As there is no such thing as a free lunch in finance, the short seller pays a small fee (borrow fee) for this service and has to put down collateral for this loan. The short seller now proceeds to sell these 10 shares in the market. He or she pockets €1.000 from his sale but still has to deliver the shares back to his broker at a later time. The short seller was right and the stock declines by 10% so that he eventually buys back the shares for €900. He now has the 10 shares that he has to return to his broker. The short seller has made the difference, that is €100, minus the fee he paid the broker and the transaction costs he incurred when selling and buying the shares. The upside for shorters is limited to +100%, that is when he/she sells the shares of ABC for €100 and can buy them back for €0. However, his downside is unlimited, that is when the shares of ABC continue to increase indefinitely.
Any other reasons to short besides speculation?
Short selling is a multifaceted strategy employed by various financial actors for a range of reasons beyond mere speculation. Often, investors engage in short selling as part of an overvaluation assessment. They target securities they believe are trading at inflated prices, shorting these overvalued stocks to position themselves for profit when the market eventually corrects the prices. While speculation remains one of the most common motivations, there are numerous other strategic uses of short selling.
Short selling serves as an effective hedging tool. Investors, particularly institutional ones, use it to protect against potential losses in other holdings by shorting securities that may decline in value, thereby balancing the overall risk of their portfolios. This approach is particularly prevalent among hedge funds, which leverage their large-scale operations to take significant short positions as part of broader investment strategies.
Another sophisticated strategy involving short selling is pair trading. In this approach, investors take a long position in one security while simultaneously shorting a correlated security (securities that often move in tandem) aiming to capitalize on the relative performance between the two.
For market makers and dealers, short selling is crucial for managing inventory and liquidity. It allows them to maintain balance and provide stability in the market, particularly when demand for certain securities outpaces their available supply. By shorting securities, they can manage their inventory levels and meet market demand, ensuring smoother market operations.
Activist investors use short selling as a tool to exert pressure on companies they believe are poorly managed or engaged in unethical practices. By shorting a company’s stock, they aim to draw attention to these issues, potentially driving down the stock price and prompting change.
Beyond these more commonly understood reasons, short selling also plays a role in more complex strategies such as market neutral positioning, where it helps in balancing long and short positions to mitigate market risk. Arbitrage trading, event-driven trading, and volatility trading also rely on short selling to exploit market inefficiencies, profit from specific events, or capitalize on expected market volatility.
In summary, short selling is far more than a speculative maneuver; it is a versatile and essential tool used by a wide array of financial actors including institutional investors, hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, market makers, activist investors, and individual retail traders. Each of these participants engages in short selling with distinct goals and methods, from managing risk and maintaining market liquidity to driving corporate change and uncovering value. Collectively, these diverse approaches underscore the importance of short selling in maintaining market balance, enhancing liquidity, and driving informed investment decisions.
Shortsellers, the ugly duckling?
Issuers sometimes argue that speculative and activist short sellers engage in manipulative tactics to drive down stock prices, particularly through practices like spreading rumors or negative information, a strategy known as "short and distort." However, simply taking a short position does not inherently cause prices to drop. Instead, speculative and activist short sellers are essentially playing a waiting game, believing that the stock they have shorted is fundamentally overpriced. They anticipate that the market will eventually recognize the overvaluation or fraudulent practices. Once the stock price approaches its fair value, short sellers typically refrain from adding new short positions, as it becomes too late to profit from further declines. Instead, they buy the now-devalued stock, return it to the lender, close out their short position, and realize their profit.
Short selling plays a crucial role in enhancing market liquidity and reducing volatility. Market liquidity refers to the market's ability to handle large volumes of trades at or near the prevailing market price. The more active the trading, the more liquid the market becomes. This higher trading volume facilitates more efficient price discovery, ensuring that prices reflect the true value of securities. Additionally, short selling enhances market depth by introducing more sellers into the market, making it easier to match buy and sell orders, and thereby allowing market makers to better fulfill customer orders. A more liquid market also benefits investors by lowering transaction costs.
Contrary to popular belief, short selling does not increase market volatility or accelerate price declines. Evidence suggests that during periods of price decline, short sellers often reduce their selling activity or close out their positions by purchasing shares, which can help offset the sales by long position holders. Despite academic research indicating that short selling is beneficial and does not typically drive stocks lower, U.S. regulations include a "circuit breaker" mechanism designed to slow down short selling during significant price drops. If a stock declines by 10% in a single day, the "modified uptick rule" is triggered. When this rule is activated, for the remainder of that day and the following day, all short-sell trades are restricted from hitting the bid price. This prevents short sellers from pushing the bid price lower and requires them to wait for a buyer willing to cross the spread to complete the trade. In addition, recent experiences in several European countries have shown that restrictions on short selling can actually lead to greater market volatility.
Moreover, short selling improves the allocation of capital by promoting more accurate stock prices. If a stock is overvalued, excessive capital may be funneled into the company, potentially leading to the funding of less profitable or unsound projects. Meanwhile, companies with undervalued stock might struggle to secure funding for more profitable initiatives. The liquidity provided by short selling also enhances capital formation, as investors are more inclined to invest in liquid markets with low transaction costs, where they can quickly establish and exit positions.
From a broader economic perspective, overvalued stocks can pose significant problems. Although the market will eventually correct such mispricings, the interim period may see real resources misallocated to the overvalued stock or industry. When the correction does occur, it can be abrupt and disruptive. Short selling mitigates this risk by exerting selling pressure on overvalued stocks, helping to prevent market bubbles and promoting more stable, sustainable market conditions.
Conclusion
Short selling is a complex and multifaceted strategy that serves essential functions in financial markets. While often misunderstood and subject to criticism, particularly for its speculative and activist uses, short selling plays a crucial role in promoting market efficiency, enhancing liquidity, and ensuring more accurate stock pricing. By enabling investors to bet against overvalued securities, short selling helps to prevent market bubbles and the misallocation of capital, contributing to the stability and long-term health of the economy. Despite the negative perceptions and regulatory challenges it faces, short selling remains an indispensable tool for a wide array of market participants, ultimately benefiting both the markets and the broader financial system.